Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.165374 0.237546 0.319812 0.418228 0.530760 0.653723 0.796666
2025-11-23 0.062109 0.141707 0.250951 0.398487 0.582589 0.797150 1.059510
2025-11-30 0.028254 0.104866 0.228257 0.409157 0.646682 0.933033 1.291889
2025-12-07 0.008152 0.072034 0.199744 0.404107 0.685701 1.035463 1.482941
2025-12-14 0.000304 0.044380 0.167779 0.385957 0.701535 1.104663 1.630106
2025-12-21 NaN 0.037479 0.169780 0.416296 0.781217 1.253353 1.873812
2025-12-28 NaN 0.032158 0.172744 0.447011 0.860826 1.401707 2.117113
2026-01-04 NaN 0.024690 0.167606 0.463060 0.919025 1.522041 2.325497
2026-01-11 NaN 0.023565 0.177850 0.504689 1.013678 1.689930 2.593530
2026-01-18 NaN 0.020596 0.181772 0.535058 1.092006 1.836534 2.835108
2026-01-25 NaN 0.014032 0.171328 0.538890 1.131036 1.931088 3.011058
2026-02-01 NaN 0.005390 0.143262 0.507076 1.115350 1.951745 3.092582
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000490 0.112036 0.465184 1.084268 1.953790 3.154427
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.096069 0.450617 1.093730 2.010219 3.286100
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.091782 0.460240 1.140695 2.117606 3.483201
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.081938 0.455343 1.163580 2.191322 3.636420
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.067441 0.435863 1.161119 2.228774 3.741648
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.072945 0.468228 1.245093 2.388019 4.007018
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.078532 0.500878 1.329662 2.548264 4.273927
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.078310 0.517921 1.388072 2.671673 4.492541
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.088090 0.562048 1.492194 2.859879 4.796694
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.093413 0.594180 1.576216 3.019795 5.063781
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.088367 0.598231 1.612985 3.112970 5.243111